So which NFL teams should you back this week? And which Super Bowl contender goes down HARD?. Washington is seeing 64 of early spread tickets, while 55 of early spread cash is on Chicago. ET WEDNESDAY: TwinSpires Sportsbook opened the Commanders -6.5 and is down to -6 for the opening game on the NFL Week 5 odds board. The model has also made the call on who will win and cover every other NFL game this week and has identified a Super Bowl contender that goes down HARD! You ABSOLUTELY need to see its NFL picks for every single game before locking in your own. The total is currently 44.5, with 58 of bets/62 of money on the Over. The model also says you should back the Under (51) in that game. Another one of its Week 8 NFL predictions: The Colts (-2.5) cover against the Titans well over 50 percent of the time. We can tell you one of the model's strongest Week 8 NFL picks is that the Bills (-14) cover the spread against the Dolphins in almost 60 percent of simulations. Now, the model has evaluated the latest NFL Vegas odds, simulated every snap for Week 8 of the 2021 NFL season, and the results are in.